[Chapter-delegates] Future Internet Scenarios
Olivier MJ Crepin-Leblond
ocl at gih.com
Wed Nov 4 00:30:17 PST 2009
Hello Veni,
I think that what ISOC is doing is great and fully support it.
A number of your questions will be answered in:
http://amzn.com/1405887338 and http://amzn.com/140588732X
I have a preference for the second version, with cases, because they really open the door to operational strategy.
Kind regards,
Olivier
----- Original Message -----
From: Veni Markovski
To: ISOC Chapter Support
Cc: chapter-delegates at elists.isoc.org
Sent: Wednesday, November 04, 2009 1:18 AM
Subject: Re: [Chapter-delegates] Future Internet Scenarios
Jon,
I've read the published scenarios, and wanted to find out what exactly "other possibilities" the senior staff at ISOC has had in mind, with regards to the future of ISOC? I am asking, because you are planning to use our ideas and input in the planning and operational activities. This is a heavy weight, and I am not sure also when you say that these scenarios were reviewed with the ISOC Board, if they were reviewed by the Board, and taken into consideration, or given some grades, or marks, or comments, or it was just an exercise.
You also say that this is an important initiative to support the health of the Internet, but I probably miss the connection between an exercise of ISOC staff and the health of the Internet, for which ISOC does not appear to be an Internet doctor, so to speak. Is there something that you know about the health of the Internet, and the need for such an initiative? Also, when you talk about "the Internet of the future" - is it different than the Internet as we know it, or do you mean that in the future there will be a new internet? Also, you say that the discussion will ensure that the Internet of the future truly is for everyone. I somehow have doubts that a discussion may ensure a future uncertainty (I mean, the current slogan of ISOC is "Internet is for everyone", why would we say "Internet of the future truly is for everyone"?); a discussion may come to a conclusion, or not. A discussion may bring together differences of opinions, divide or unite people. Some of the chapters have made possible that not only the "Internet of the future", but the Internet today is truly for everyone - open, without governmental control whatsoever. But that has been successful on a national level; I haven't seen enough [successful] efforts from ISOC on the global stage to achieve the same.
I am starting to look into more details in the messages that come from ISOC, because often chapters delegates, who have their daily jobs, may not pay enough attention to such messages, and may not have the time to comment in a timely manner, and then face results, which are unexpected, or even not wanted.
I will make more comments on the web site itself, because there are some really strange suggestions in some of the scenarios, and I don't feel comfortable starting a discussion here.
Best regards,
Veni Markovski
President and Chair of the Board,
ISOC-Bulgaria, www.isoc.bg
Dear Colleagues:
Recently, senior staff at the Internet Society engaged in a scenario planning exercise to reveal plausible courses of events that could impact the health of the Internet in the future. The results of the scenario planning exercise were subsequently reviewed with the Internet Society Board of Trustees.
Scenario planning is a methodology used widely in business, and increasingly in other sectors, to allow organizations to anticipate possible futures in an environment of great uncertainty. Scenario planning is neither blue-sky guesswork nor statistical analysis. It is a structured process to help organizations break free from ties to “the official future” and to consider other possibilities they may confront over the longer term.
The result from ISOC’s own scenario planning process is four scenarios – or stories – that are intended to reveal plausible courses of events, not probable ones. While they are imaginative, they are intended to make the organization aware of possibilities that could have an impact.
Scenarios always start from a question about the future. In this case, the focal question for the exercise was: "Will the world embrace or resist the open Internet model?" with a second-level question to narrow the field: "What model will be more successful? Command and control? Or, distributed and decentralized?"
We would like to engage with you in evaluating these stories, which can be found at:
http://www.isoc.org/scenarios
I would very much like to encourage discussion and feedback by all members of the Internet Society through the comment features available on the scenario web pages. You should also feel free to share these scenarios with anyone interested in the future of the Internet.
We will incorporate your input and ideas on the substance of these scenarios in our planning and operational activities. In addition, while incorporating your insights, our Communications team will build, with chapters and members, an external outreach campaign to partners and the public at large that will allow us to continue to evaluate these scenarios on a regular basis, to raise awareness, and to promote courses of action as various parts of these scenarios play out over time.
We look forward to hearing from and working with you on this important initiative to support the health of the Internet.
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