[Chapter-delegates] Future Internet Scenarios

[Veni Markovski]

Jon,
I've read the published scenarios, and wanted to find out what exactly 
"/other possibilities/" the senior staff at ISOC has had in mind, with 
regards to the future of ISOC? I am asking, because you are planning to 
use our ideas and input in t_he planning and operational activities_. 
This is a heavy weight, and I am not sure also when you say that these 
scenarios were reviewed /_with _/the ISOC Board, if they were reviewed 
/_by_ /the Board, and taken into consideration, or given some grades, or 
marks, or comments, or it was just an exercise.

You also say that this is an important initiative to support the health 
of the Internet, but I probably miss the connection between an exercise 
of ISOC staff and the health of the Internet, for which ISOC does not 
appear to be an Internet doctor, so to speak. Is there something that 
you know about the health of the Internet, and the need for such an 
initiative? Also, when you talk about "the Internet of the future" - is 
it different than the Internet as we know it, or do you mean that in the 
future there will be a new internet?  Also, you say that the discussion 
will ensure that the Internet of the future truly is for everyone. I 
somehow have doubts that a discussion may ensure a future uncertainty (I 
mean, the current slogan of ISOC is "Internet is for everyone", why 
would we say "Internet of the future truly is for everyone"?); a 
discussion may come to a conclusion, or not. A discussion may bring 
together differences of opinions, divide or unite people. Some of the 
chapters have made possible that not only the "Internet of the future", 
but the Internet today is truly for everyone - open, without 
governmental control whatsoever. But that has been successful on a 
national level; I haven't seen enough [successful] efforts from ISOC on 
the global stage to achieve the same.

I am starting to look into more details in the messages that come from 
ISOC, because often chapters delegates, who have their daily jobs, may 
not pay enough attention to such messages, and may not have the time to 
comment in a timely manner, and then face results, which are unexpected, 
or even not wanted.

I will make more comments on the web site itself, because there are some 
really strange suggestions in some of the scenarios, and I don't feel 
comfortable starting a /discussion/ here.

Best regards,
Veni Markovski
President and Chair of the Board,
ISOC-Bulgaria, www.isoc.bg

 

> Dear Colleagues:
>
> Recently, senior staff at the Internet Society engaged in a scenario 
> planning exercise to reveal /plausible/ courses of events that could 
> impact the health of the Internet in the future. The results of the 
> scenario planning exercise were subsequently reviewed with the 
> Internet Society Board of Trustees.
>
> Scenario planning is a methodology used widely in business, and 
> increasingly in other sectors, to allow organizations to anticipate 
> /possible /futures in an environment of great uncertainty. Scenario 
> planning is neither blue-sky guesswork nor statistical analysis. /It 
> is a structured process to help organizations break free from ties to 
> “the official future” and to consider other possibilities they may 
> confront over the longer term./
>
> The result from ISOC’s own scenario planning process is four scenarios 
> – or stories – that are intended to reveal /plausible /courses of 
> events, not probable ones. While they are imaginative, they are 
> intended to make the organization aware of possibilities that could 
> have an impact.
>
> Scenarios always start from a question about the future. In this case, 
> the focal question for the exercise was: "Will the world embrace or 
> resist the open Internet model?" with a second-level question to 
> narrow the field: "What model will be more successful? Command and 
> control? Or, distributed and decentralized?"
>
> We would like to engage with you in evaluating these stories, which 
> can be found at: 
>
> http://www.isoc.org/scenarios
>
> I would very much like to encourage discussion and feedback by all 
> members of the Internet Society through the comment features available 
> on the scenario web pages. You should also feel free to share these 
> scenarios with anyone interested in the future of the Internet.
>
> We will incorporate your input and ideas on the substance of these 
> scenarios in our planning and operational activities. In addition, 
> while incorporating your insights, our Communications team will build, 
> with chapters and members, an external outreach campaign to partners 
> and the public at large that will allow us to continue to evaluate 
> these scenarios on a regular basis, to raise awareness, and to promote 
> courses of action as various parts of these scenarios play out over time.
>
> We look forward to hearing from and working with you on this important 
> initiative to support the health of the Internet. 
>
>
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