[ih] Fiction->History
Miles Fidelman
mfidelman at meetinghouse.net
Thu Sep 24 18:14:51 PDT 2015
John Day wrote:
> C’mon, Craig, ;-) predictions over 20 years is hardly any time at all. ;-) I was thinking of all of those predictions by experts of 50 to 100 years. They seldom even get the broad brush right.
>
> Actually, at a recent conference I got asked the “old man question.” ;-) “Gee, what do you think about having all of these iPhones and iPads and stuff?” ;-) After stifling a chuckle, I patiently explained that in 1974, there was a book called Computer Lib/Dream Machines by Ted Nelson and Stewart Brand that laid out the Dynabook and much else. We have just been waiting for the hardware to catch up. ;-) (And BTW, I still have my copy).
>
> Predicting over the last 40 years in our field has been relatively easy. The hard part has been predicting the dumb things that have happened! ;-)
>
>
Internet porn was easy to predict. Kitten memes, not so much. :-)
Miles
--
In theory, there is no difference between theory and practice.
In practice, there is. .... Yogi Berra
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