[Chapter-delegates] Future Internet Scenarios

Veni Markovski veni at veni.com
Fri Nov 6 02:59:54 PST 2009


I've put several comments here: http://www.isoc.org/tools/blogs/scenarios

Dear Chapter delegates,
What worries me, is that 10 days after you published this email, there are
no comments there, except mine. This is not good, and does not speak well
for our model of contributions to ISOC.
Please, visit the site, register, comment.
There is a lot of work to be done, and if we are not part of it today,
tomorrow ISOC may take another decision, which might be not as good as it
could be - if we would have helped!

Thanks!

On Mon, Oct 26, 2009 at 10:53 AM, Jon McNerney <mcnerney at isoc.org> wrote:

> Dear Colleagues:
>
> Recently, senior staff at the Internet Society engaged in a scenario
> planning exercise to reveal *plausible* courses of events that could
> impact the health of the Internet in the future. The results of the scenario
> planning exercise were subsequently reviewed with the Internet Society Board
> of Trustees.
>
> Scenario planning is a methodology used widely in business, and
> increasingly in other sectors, to allow organizations to anticipate *possible
> *futures in an environment of great uncertainty. Scenario planning is
> neither blue-sky guesswork nor statistical analysis. *It is a structured
> process to help organizations break free from ties to “the official future”
> and to consider other possibilities they may confront over the longer term.
> *
>
> The result from ISOC’s own scenario planning process is four scenarios – or
> stories – that are intended to reveal *plausible *courses of events, not
> probable ones. While they are imaginative, they are intended to make the
> organization aware of possibilities that could have an impact.
>
> Scenarios always start from a question about the future. In this case, the
> focal question for the exercise was: "Will the world embrace or resist the
> open Internet model?" with a second-level question to narrow the field:
> "What model will be more successful? Command and control? Or, distributed
> and decentralized?"
>
> We would like to engage with you in evaluating these stories, which can be
> found at:
>
> http://www.isoc.org/scenarios
>
> I would very much like to encourage discussion and feedback by all members
> of the Internet Society through the comment features available on the
> scenario web pages. You should also feel free to share these scenarios with
> anyone interested in the future of the Internet.
>
> We will incorporate your input and ideas on the substance of these
> scenarios in our planning and operational activities. In addition, while
> incorporating your insights, our Communications team will build, with
> chapters and members, an external outreach campaign to partners and the
> public at large that will allow us to continue to evaluate these scenarios
> on a regular basis, to raise awareness, and to promote courses of action as
> various parts of these scenarios play out over time.
>
> We look forward to hearing from and working with you on this important
> initiative to support the health of the Internet.
>
>
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