[Chapter-delegates] Future Internet Scenarios

Sivasubramanian Muthusamy isolatedn at gmail.com
Fri Nov 6 10:07:00 PST 2009


Hello

I have posted the following comments:

The four scenarios may not be strictly compartmentalized with the set of
features as shown, instead the features may overlap, get mixed up to form an
altogether new scenario. For instance, the Internet Model may largely
prevail, Open Access might continue to exist, yet there could be censorship
to a certain extent and content control. The features shown in four
quadrants may not be mutually exclusive.

Each of the scenario described appear unnatural in some form or another.

Common Pool Scenario: This is the most positive of all scenarios, that is
framed around the Internet Model. Even this scenario is visualized to
deteriorate over time.

” major incumbents, … for the Future Network … resolving known issues
through hard-fought negotiations between powerful industry players. And:
nothing happened…. each network’s implementation varied
just-ever-so-slightly from their competitors’, so interoperation failed at
all … developed ugly-but-functional approaches to critical problems … the
Next Big Thing. It wasn’t pretty; it didn’t flash; it wasn’t intellectually
or aesthetically impressive. It just worked…. There was much upheaval,
wailing and gnashing of teeth, appeal to governments for redress (or at
least a bailout), some failed, some adjusted, and many applied the newest
economic fad, acquiring the customers and assets of the new entrants through
corporate “leveraged lease-to-buy” options.

Boutique Networks Scenario: “networks to begin to separate themselves into
smaller stand-alone segments” Would it be segments so small and too many s
to call the networks Boutique Networks? And this scenario is portrayed as
something that would happen due to Tier 1 operators micro-managing IPV4
addresses ! This scenario is also shown as arising due to some countries
opting out of ICANN’s root and DNS, and some governments following their own
systems of addressing. These situations are imaginable, while governments
taking their countries ‘off-net’ appear far fetched. And IETF to be signed
over to hobbyists and HAM radio users ??? Funny.

The Boutique Networks Scenario nowhere talks about National control of the
domain name space through ccTLDs nor about the impact of IDNs that might
divide the Internet along language lines. IDNs and content in a certain
language might tend to shut people of other languages away

Moats and Drawbridges Scenario is very well described, and it is this
scenario that requires the Internet Community to act to prevent.

Porous Garden Scenario: Closed Devices: May be. But multiple Internet
platforms?? Like multiple, incompatible Operating Systems? Strange, this
scenario imagines highly profitable business models for platform vendors,
operators and developers while networks would be floating in space,
unconnected and unable to agree on ways to share access to each other’s
revenue streams. How could both happen at the same time?

A good exercise out of which better scenarios could have been visualized by
a larger team of thinkers.

Sivasubramanian Muthusamy
Blog: http://isocmadras.blogspot.com
facebook: http://is.gd/x8Sh
LinkedIn: http://is.gd/x8U6
Twitter: http://is.gd/x8Vz




On Fri, Nov 6, 2009 at 10:37 PM, Jose Francisco Callo Romero <
jfcallo at hotmail.com> wrote:

>  Dear Veni and members:
> Concern:
> Whenever I see the comments, opinions, proposals are technical side and
> little or nothing is seen from the point of content, which is ultimately
> what users see and observe.
> In my humble opinion as a communicator, prospects can go to control if we
> do not stop and analyze what surf the net, because the technique is almost
> already established.
> Thanks
>
> *Jose F. Callo Romero*
> *Web Project Manager*
> *Secretario- ISOC  Peru*
>
>
> ------------------------------
> From: veni at veni.com
> Date: Fri, 6 Nov 2009 05:59:54 -0500
> To: chapter-support at isoc.org
> CC: chapter-delegates at elists.isoc.org
>
> Subject: Re: [Chapter-delegates] Future Internet Scenarios
>
> I've put several comments here: http://www.isoc.org/tools/blogs/scenarios
>
> Dear Chapter delegates,
> What worries me, is that 10 days after you published this email, there are
> no comments there, except mine. This is not good, and does not speak well
> for our model of contributions to ISOC.
> Please, visit the site, register, comment.
> There is a lot of work to be done, and if we are not part of it today,
> tomorrow ISOC may take another decision, which might be not as good as it
> could be - if we would have helped!
>
> Thanks!
>
>
>
>
> ------------------------------
> Invite your mail contacts to join your friends list with Windows Live
> Spaces. It's easy! Try it!<http://spaces.live.com/spacesapi.aspx?wx_action=create&wx_url=/friends.aspx&mkt=en-us>
>
> _______________________________________________
> Chapter-delegates mailing list
> Chapter-delegates at elists.isoc.org
> http://elists.isoc.org/mailman/listinfo/chapter-delegates
>
>
-------------- next part --------------
An HTML attachment was scrubbed...
URL: <https://elists.isoc.org/mailman/private/chapter-delegates/attachments/20091106/8780ce30/attachment.htm>


More information about the Chapter-delegates mailing list